Financial Markets

Markets shrug off SONA

President Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair.

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Viewpoint

Seesaw in US rate cut expectations

Last week was less volatile than previous weeks. It was nonetheless characterised by fluctuating asset prices, depending on whether the...

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Recap & Outlook

Recap & Outlook: 16 Feb ’26

Recap & Outlook is a single report focused on the key developments of the week.

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PPI (FINAL MANUFACTURED GOODS)Nov '25: +2.9% y/y ▶ (+2.9% y/y)
SARB’S LEADING INDICATORNov '25: 118.4pts ▲ (116.8pts)
PRIVATE SECTOR CREDITOct ‘25: +7.3% y/y ▲ (+6.0% y/y)
RETAIL SALESNov '25: +3.5% y/y ▲ (+3.0% y/y)
BUSINESS CONFIDENCEQ4 2025 44 points ▲ (39 points)
MINING PRODUCTIONNov '25: -2.7% y/y ▼ (+6.1% y/y)
CPI (HEADLINE)Dec '25: +3.6% y/y ▲ (+3.5% y/y)
MANUFACTURING PRODUCTIONNov '25: -1.0% y/y ▼ (+0.45% y/y)
TOTAL VEHICLE SALESDec '25: 48,983 ▼ (54,896)
ABSA PMIDec '25: pts 40.5 ▼ (42.0 pts)
TRADE BALANCEOct '25 +R15.6bn ▼ (+R22.3bn)
GOVERNMENT BUDGET BALANCEOct '25 -R35.8bn ▼ (-R15.4bn)

ECONOMETRIX IMPACT STUDY: STEEL SECTOR

Explore the insights from Econometrix on the economic impact of tax policies and the closure of ArcelorMittal South Africa’s Newcastle plant on the South African steel sector and economy.

Access the full presentation and press release here.

ECMX - Econometrix

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We are recognised as one of South Africa’s foremost independent economic consulting and research firms. ECMX is dedicated to providing clients with critical insights and data-driven solutions. Whether you require comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic trends or expert guidance to navigate intricate markets, we are here to assist you.

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At Econometrix, we believe that understanding the broader economic picture begins with accurate data and expert analysis. By combining real-time data with seasoned insights, we deliver a deeper understanding of what’s happening in the economy, why it’s happening, and how it affects your business.

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ECMX - We Manage Economic Risk. Simple.

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We deliver precise research analysis, covering a wide range of topics from daily updates to comprehensive industry insights.

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We work closely with your organisation to identify data-driven and theoretical solutions that address your operational challenges effectively.

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Making critical decisions starts with reliable information. We deliver unique perspectives through webinars, thematic reports, and tailored strategic guidance.

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Economic Risk. Simple.

Date Uploaded: February 16 2026 13:53

Markets shrug off SONA

President Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell

Date Uploaded: February 16 2026 13:52

Seesaw in US rate cut expectations

Last week was less volatile than previous weeks. It was

Date Uploaded: February 16 2026 13:13

Recap & Outlook: 16 Feb ’26

Recap & Outlook is a single report focused on the

Econometrix (ecmx) is part of the ETM Group

Operating within a complex economic environment requires a deep understanding of national performance, sector trends, and target demographics.

Our objective is to empower your organisation with strategic insights to overcome challenges and capitalise on emerging opportunities.

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