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MACRO ECONOMIC FORECAST MODEL
Our econometric model provides quarterly and annual four-year forecasts every quarter of over 100 domestic and global economic variables – see below.
The Macro-economic Forecast Model (view sample) is offered as part of a subscription to the Premium Package, or to the Quarterly Economic Outlook – click here to subscribe. 

EXCHANGE RATES, MAJOR CURRENCIES

$US per Euro
Euro per Pound
Yen per $US
Yen per Euro
$US per Pound
Euro per $US
Yuan per $US

PRIVATE CONSUMPTION

Private Consumption Total
Durable consumption
Semi-durable consumption
Non-durable consumption
Services consumption
Government Consumption
Imports Goods & Services
Disposable Income
Gross Dom Expenditure
Wage Bill Nominal

RAND EXCHANGE RATES, MAJOR CURRENCIES

Rand per $US
Rand per Euro
Rand per Pound
Yen per Rand
$US per Rand
Rand per Yuan
Rand real effective (excl Zim)

FIXED INVESTMENT

Total Fixed Investment Gross
Residential Fixed Investment
Non-Residential Fixed Investment
Civil Engineering Fixed Investment
Machinery & Equipment Fixed Investment
Transport Equipment Fixed Investment
Computer Equipment Fixed Investment
Government Fixed Investment
Investment to GDP %

BALANCE OF PAYMENTS CURRENT ACCOUNT

Real Merchandise Exports
Nominal Merchandise Exports
Real Merchandise Imports
Nominal Merchandise Imports
Gold Exports Volume ‘000Kg
Gold Exports Value
Foreign Trade Balance
Travel & Service Exports
Travel & Service Imports
Travel & Service Balance
Income Receipts
Income Payments
Income Balance
Transfers
Current Account Balance Rm
Current Account/GDP Ratio %

 

PRICE INDICATORS

CPI Overall  (Headline)
CPI Food
CPI Petrol/Fuel
CPI Electricity/Energy
CPI Core (excl. Food & Beverage, Petrol, Electricity)
CPI Housing
CPI excl Food & Housing
CPI Underlying (excl. Food, Housing, Petrol)
PPI Overall
PPI Electricity
Merchandise Imports Price Index
Merchandise Exports Price Index
GDP Price Index
Average Wage & Salary Inflation
Employment ('000)
Unemployment rate

NATIONAL ACCOUNTS

Private Consumption
Government Consumption
Fixed Investment
Inventory Investment
GDP Residual
Gross Dom Expenditure
Exports Goods & Services
Imports Goods & Services
Gross Domestic Product

INTEREST RATES

Prime Overdraft
3 Month BA
3 Month NCD
6 Month NCD
12 Month NCD
3-5 Year Gilt (R157)
5-10 Year Gilts
10-15 Year Gilts
15+ Year Gilt (R186)
SARB Repo Rate
Real Prime (using CPI)

 

INTERNATIONAL GROWTH AND PRICES

G7 Real GDP Index
G7 CPI Index
G7 & China Real GDP,
Oil Price in $US
Oi Price in Rand
Gold Price in $US/oz
Gold Price in Rand/oz

MONEY SUPPLY AND CREDIT

M3 Money Supply
Private Credit Total
Private Credit Consumers
Private Credit Business
M2 Money Supply
M1 Money Supply

EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATES

Nominal Effective Rand
Real Effective Rand
Production Price Index
Foreign Trade-weighted PPI (implicit)
Nominal Effective Rand Inverse
US$ effective nominal

GOVERNMENT FINANCES

Total Revenue
Total Spending
Deficit Before Borrowing
Deficit / GDP Ratio %
Debt / GDP Ratio %
Gross Dom Product Nominal
Personal consumption Nominal

KEY RATIOS TO GDP

Private Consumption / GDP %
Government Consumption / GDP  %
Fixed Investment / GDP  %
GDE / GDP  %
Exports / GDP  %
Imports / GDP  %
Current Account / GDP  %
Government Revenue / GDP  %
Fiscal Balance / GDP  %

 

 

ConTact Us

Econometrix Park • 8 West Street
Houghton • Johannesburg • 2198
Tel • +27 11 483-1421 
Fax • +27 11 483-2498
sales@econometrix.co.za
info@econometrix.co.za