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CEMENT SCENARIO MODEL
Econometrix has developed an econometric model that determines the cement price, demand and production capacity for cement, and allows for scenario adjustments.

About the model

The primary objective of the model is to provide a means of transforming the type of data often presented in macro-economic scenarios into the demand for cement and cementitious materials within South Africa.
 
Five year forecasts for gross fixed capital formation (for residential, non-residential and construction works) and three general price level indicators are used as input variables in the model.  
The model uses these variables to create forecast values for the PPI component for ordinary and extended cement and cement retail, and also to forecast values for the sales of cement and cementitious materials.
 
Each of the driving assumptions and modelled outputs are presented with both Econometrix' base case assumptions and computed values.  
The user can create scenarios by entering adjustment percentages for any of the assumptions and model values, with these overrides then being used by other variables in the model.
Model sheets, ready-to-print report sheets and graphic displays of all variables are provided within this application system in Excel.
 
Quarterly Cement Outlook report
In addition to the model output in Excel, the subscriber also receives a quarterly report as detailed below | View sample of the report
SCENARIO-
CEMENT-
MODEL
Price variables
Econometrix base case and scenario with user-adjusted assumptions for CPI inflation, PPI inflation and prime interest rate
Fixed Capital formation variables
Econometrix base case and scenario with user-adjusted assumptions for residential, non-residential, and construction works investment
Output variables
Cement demand, cement retail price index, industry capacity, cement imports
QUARTERLY-
CEMENT-
MODEL
Macro-economic overview & forecast
A short macro-economic overview of the global and domestic economy and forecast of key macro-economic indicators
Economic Trends relevant to the cement industry
Cement sales; building industry indicators (including building plans passed and completed, house prices, mortgage advances); mining production; manufacturing production; electricity production
Base Case Forecasts 
Econometrix base case cement forecasts (as presented in the Excel model output)
For further information please contact our sales staff.

 

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Price
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Product Code: 242

Accessories

1 year subscription to Cement Scenario Model (4 reports per annum)
R 80000.00
Quantity
Once-Off Copy of Cement Scenario Model
R 22000.00
Quantity

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Econometrix Park • 8 West Street
Houghton • Johannesburg • 2198
Tel • +27 11 483-1421 
Fax • +27 11 483-2498
sales@econometrix.co.za
info@econometrix.co.za